Current:Home > reviewsHere's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy -Wealth Evolution Experts
Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy
View
Date:2025-04-13 03:37:10
Inflation got a little higher last month — but not enough to set off alarms.
Consumer prices in July were up 3.2% from a year ago, according to data released Thursday, driven in part by rising rent, gas and grocery prices. The increase came after the annual inflation rate had fallen steadily for the previous 12 months.
Despite the rise in the headline rate, details in the report show inflation continuing to moderate. Stocks rallied on the news, which bolstered hopes for a "soft landing," in which the Federal Reserve brings inflation under control without tipping the economy into recession.
Here are four things to know about the latest report on inflation.
What was so encouraging about the latest inflation report?
Although consumer prices rose more in July on an annual basis than they did in June, that shouldn't be read as inflation gaining steam. Rather, it's the result of a single month of flat prices a year ago dropping out of the calculation.
Focusing on more recent months shows price hikes continuing to moderate. In fact, over the last three months, prices have climbed at an annual rate of just under 2%. And some prices are actually coming down.
So what is up — and what is down in price?
Goods overall are getting cheaper, with some exceptions like gasoline and groceries.
Used car prices were down last month, and they are expected to keep falling. Air fares dropped more than 8% in July for the second month in a row.
Rent is still going up, but not as fast as it had been. The economy is also seeing a moderation in the price of services – things like getting your car fixed or going to the dentist.
Service prices are largely driven by wages, so they tend to be stickier than other prices. The big question is whether service inflation will come down enough to bring overall inflation under control.
Why is Wall Street so encouraged about inflation?
The inflation data was within what Wall Street had forecast, and it reinforces hope that inflation is easing.
At the same time, other recent data is showing a sturdier economy than many had expected. The labor market, in particular, is holding up well despite the Fed's aggressive increases in interest rates since last year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped more than 400 points in the first hour of trading Thursday, although most of those gains were later reversed. The Dow closed up 52 points, or 0.15%.
Stephen Juneau, a senior economist at Bank of America, says he's encouraged about the trajectory of inflation.
"I think the direction of travel right now is really moving in the right direction, and is encouraging on the inflation front," Juneau said.
How could the inflation data impact the Fed's thinking?
Even before Thursday's inflation news, markets were betting the Fed would leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting after raising rates aggressively since last year.
Oddsmakers see that as even more likely after this report.
But nothing's certain and additional economic data will determine the Fed's next action. The Fed doesn't meet until late September and there are still areas of concern, including higher oil prices which are driving up prices at the gas pump.
How could inflation impact households?
Although inflation is easing, it's still pretty high. Even if the Fed doesn't raise rates higher, they're likely to remain elevated for an extended period.
That has an impact on many people's pocketbooks since households are paying more for mortgages and credit cards, for example.
And the economy may be looking sturdier, but there's still a risk the U.S. could enter a recession.
China's economy, for example, is showing signs of slowing down significantly, which could impact the global economy at a time when the U.S. is taking a tougher stance against the Asian country.
veryGood! (74)
Related
- Macy's says employee who allegedly hid $150 million in expenses had no major 'impact'
- More ‘Green Bonds’ Needed to Fund the Clean Energy Revolution
- Hip-hop turns 50: Here's a part of its history that doesn't always make headlines
- Why Melissa McCarthy Is Paranoid to Watch Gilmore Girls With Her Kids at Home
- Current, future North Carolina governor’s challenge of power
- Miley Cyrus Defends Her Decision to Not Tour in the Near Future
- One man left Kansas for a lifesaving liver transplant — but the problems run deeper
- What we know about the health risks of ultra-processed foods
- Krispy Kreme offers a free dozen Grinch green doughnuts: When to get the deal
- Heidi Klum Handles Nip Slip Like a Pro During Cannes Film Festival 2023
Ranking
- Bodycam footage shows high
- A Climate Activist Turns His Digital Prowess to Organizing the Youth Vote in November
- This telehealth program is a lifeline for New Mexico's pregnant moms. Will it end?
- FDA advisers narrowly back first gene therapy for muscular dystrophy
- FACT FOCUS: Inspector general’s Jan. 6 report misrepresented as proof of FBI setup
- He helped cancer patients find peace through psychedelics. Then came his diagnosis
- YouTube star Hank Green shares cancer diagnosis
- Legendary Singer Tina Turner Dead at 83
Recommendation
Sonya Massey's father decries possible release of former deputy charged with her death
A new nasal spray to reverse fentanyl and other opioid overdoses gets FDA approval
Our bodies respond differently to food. A new study aims to find out how
Beyond the 'abortion pill': Real-life experiences of individuals taking mifepristone
The White House is cracking down on overdraft fees
FDA changes rules for donating blood. Some say they're still discriminatory
Search for missing OceanGate sub ramps up near Titanic wreck with deep-sea robot scanning ocean floor
Draft Airline Emission Rules are the Latest Trump Administration Effort to Change its Climate Record